BG Foods Valuation

BGS Stock  USD 5.15  0.20  4.04%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. BG Foods owns a latest Real Value of $4.54 per share. The recent price of the firm is $5.15. Our model approximates the value of BG Foods from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Shares Owned By Insiders of 3.17 %, return on asset of 0.0382, and Shares Outstanding of 79.98 M as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting BG Foods' valuation include:
Price Book
0.8886
Enterprise Value
2.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
31.2449
Price Sales
0.2238
Forward PE
9.8717
Overvalued
Today
5.15
Please note that BG Foods' price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of BG Foods is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing BG Foods' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the BGS stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of BG Foods. Since BG Foods is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of BGS Stock. However, BG Foods' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  5.15 Real  4.54 Target  4.2 Hype  5.13 Naive  5.06
The intrinsic value of BG Foods' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence BG Foods' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
4.54
Real Value
6.81
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of BG Foods helps investors to forecast how BGS stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of BG Foods more accurately as focusing exclusively on BG Foods' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.100.130.15
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.865.137.40
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.480.700.91
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
3.824.204.66
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use BG Foods' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of BG Foods' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against BG Foods' closest peers.

BG Foods Cash

35.86 Million

BGS Revenue by Product

BG Foods Total Value Analysis

BG Foods is currently forecasted to have company total value of 2.43 B with market capitalization of 412.02 M, debt of 2.08 B, and cash on hands of 50.58 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the BG Foods fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.43 B
412.02 M
2.08 B
50.58 M

BG Foods Investor Information

About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BG Foods recorded a loss per share of 3.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Based on the key indicators related to BG Foods' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, BG Foods is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities93.7 M150.6 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable

BG Foods Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. BG Foods has an asset utilization ratio of 64.54 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.65 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that BG Foods is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
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Covid
 
Interest Hikes

BG Foods Profitability Analysis

Based on BG Foods' profitability indicators, BG Foods may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess BG Foods' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2000-03-31
Previous Quarter
-9.8 M
Current Value
-19.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
32.4 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.33 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 270 M in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.330.25
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
For BG Foods profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of BG Foods to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well BG Foods utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between BG Foods's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of BG Foods over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

BG Foods Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of BG Foods is estimated to be 0.1277 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.1025 to a high of 0.1525. BG Foods' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -3.29. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for BG Foods is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
BG Foods is projected to generate 0.1277 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. BG Foods earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected BG Foods EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on BG Foods' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as BG Foods, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

BG Foods Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of BG Foods' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of BG Foods is estimated to be 0.1277 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.1025 to a high of 0.1525. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for BG Foods is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.10
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.1277
0.15
Highest

BG Foods Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of BG Foods' value are higher than the current market price of the BG Foods stock. In this case, investors may conclude that BG Foods is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and BG Foods' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
663.63%
0.0
0.1277
-3.29

BG Foods Ownership Allocation

BG Foods secures a total of 79.98 Million outstanding shares. Over half of BG Foods' outstanding shares are owned by institutions. These institutions are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company retains, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

BG Foods Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.93 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (251.25 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 400.85 M.

BG Foods Past Distributions to stockholders

About BG Foods Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines BG Foods' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of BG Foods based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of BG Foods. We calculate exposure to BG Foods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of BG Foods's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit485.2 M270 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Loss(0.04)(0.04)
Gross Profit Margin 0.25  0.33 
BG Foods' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether BG Foods' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of BG Foods can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of BG Foods represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of BGS, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

BG Foods Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Dividends Paid is likely to gain to about 74.3 M in 2026, whereas Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.05 in 2026. . Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to gain to about 1.1 B in 2026, whereas Retained Earnings are likely to drop slightly above 308.5 M in 2026.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid69 M74.3 M
Dividend Yield 0.06  0.05 
Dividend Payout Ratio(0.97)(0.92)
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 3.49  2.13 
There are various types of dividends BG Foods can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of BGS shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from BG Foods directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When BGS pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of BG Foods by the value of the dividends paid out.

BG Foods Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as BG Foods does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.659
Forward Price Earnings9.8717

BG Foods Current Valuation Indicators

BG Foods' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final BG Foods' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as BG Foods, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use BG Foods' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes BG Foods' worth.

Additional Tools for BGS Stock Analysis

When running BG Foods' price analysis, check to measure BG Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BG Foods is operating at the current time. Most of BG Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BG Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BG Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BG Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.